Alright, I think I'm ready to make my case. After thinking about it, I'm not quite as disappointed in him as I initially was, but my conclusions are still surprising to me.
So here's what I've got:
This is a screen shot from them flying over a town. I'm confident this is Ticaboo. @
Nick, I'm sure @
audraiam can confirm that. See my satellite picture below of Ticaboo for comparison.
You can see a row of three long buildings in the picture above and the satellite view, as well as the row of houses to the west of the 3 buildings.
And west of the row of houses, you can see the butte on the map below that is beside the houses in the screen shot.
Next, is a screen shot from the helicopter. The gravel driveway in the foreground is the entrance to Ticaboo Lodge, the road is Hwy 276, and the mountain is Mt Ellsworth.
Here's a Google Street shot of the same view right outside the Ticaboo Lodge. Notice the yellow road sign in the screen shot above and on the Google view.
So, I think we can reliably conclude they are in the Ticaboo area.
Next, we have the place where the helicopter landed at the beginning of the show:
Now, this is the one shot from the whole show that I'm not completely confident about, but I think it's taken from the east side of Smith Fork. If you'll notice the perspective of the mountains and then look at the map below, you'll see why I think that.
The "B" marks the area where I think they landed. From there, you would see Ellsworth in the foreground, and then Hillers and Pennell in the background. You can't see the South Summit Ridge further north from Pennell, because from this angle it would be completely behind Pennell. And when we were there this weekend, Hillers and Pennell had snow on them, but the south side of Ellsworth didn't have any snow on it. This matches what we see in the screen shot above. Additionally, the east side of Smith Fork has lots of slickrock which matches the slickrock he rode his bike on.
So, I think he landed the helicopter and rode his bike on the slickrock around Smith Fork. And if you look at the
coordinatesI've marked for Smith Fork, there's a butte right in the middle of the slickrock that closely matches the butte in the screen shot. I can't swear it's the same place, though, but it fits my interpretation of the map.
But this is where it gets weird. Remember, based on my conclusion, he landed south of Ellsworth. After landing, he rides around on a bike. Then he starts "surviving."
Here is a screen shot from his first day:
You can see him in the foreground, so you know this isn't a "stock" shot. But notice the mountain in the background. Look familiar?
That's right, it's the north side of Mt Holmes. Notice the profile of the mountain top peaks, and you can see it's the same mountain.
Obviously, my picture from this weekend isn't from exactly the same spot, but it's pretty close. And it's definitely close enough to confidently conclude that he's on the north side of Holmes.
Now, of course, up to this point, it's possible that I'm wrong about where he landed, and he actually landed north of the Little Rockies rather than south of the Little Rockies. I'm not totally confident that he landed south of the Little Rockies, but I am totally confident that he spent his first couple of days north of the Little Rockies.
So, he's north of Mt Holmes the first couple of days. But this is where it gets really weird. On his second day he complains that he can't find any water at his campsite so he's going to have to move and look for water. And this is the next shot we get after he has walked off:
Well, I took the next two pictures from near
Ticaboo Shelf Spring on the south side of the Little Rockies just below Ellsworth:
Again, compare the mountain profile from the screen shot with the mountain profile in my second picture. My second picture is Mt Holmes again...but this one is from the south side. I am completely confident that we are looking at Mt Holmes from its SOUTH side, and I am completely confident that the day before we were looking at Mt Holmes from its NORTH side. In fact, I am completely confident that he took this video from the top of Ticaboo Shelf Spring at the CCC cow trail that drops down into a fork of the South Fork Ticaboo Creek.
And here's the real kicker that seals the deal for me:
It's not easy to see, but do you see the white spot just above where it says Survivorman?
I believe that is this:
The water tank at the spring. This tank is a little down hill from the desert floor. And from east of the tank, this is the view of Mt Ellsworth that you have:
Compare the profile of the mountain from the screen shot and the profile of the mountain in my picture. Do you see the same Mt Ellsworth view from the screen shot? The water tank is just out of view in my picture.
From here, it appears to me that he drops down into South Fork Ticaboo Creek from the cow trail at the tank and continues into the canyon.
And that's it.
So, here is my theory:
The video of him riding the bike is not actually where he was dropped off. They just filmed him riding his bike on the slickrock above Smith Fork. From there, he went to the north side of Mt Holmes...and not very far from the highway at all...and tried to do his show. But after two days he realized that his show was about to be cut very short because he couldn't find water and couldn't get down into the canyons...and I think the canyon was Swett. So he got picked up and moved back to the south side of the Little Rockies where they knew he could find a way down into the canyons, and they dropped him off near the water tank at Ticaboo Shelf Spring and pointed him towards the cow trail that was built by the CCC. From there he dropped down into the canyon and did the rest of his show.
So, what do you think? Poke holes in the theory! Help me figure it out!
And if my conclusions are right, does this affect your view of the show?
And while you're thinking I'm crazy for going to all this trouble, remember that it was your tax money that turned me into this!
