i might catch shit for this, but id be interested to see more concrete evidence that bots are actually manipulating the supply. its obvious that it can be done, but is it being done? Booze-Allen should know, but like someone in the other thread suggested, do they care, so long as they are raking in the "service fee"?
obviously resale (transfer) of reservations seems like a terrible idea, because it would open the door for scalpers gouging people.
tough to find the perfect solution when it comes to reservations it seems.
This is 100% happening, at least with cancelled permits. My anecdotal experience: I did a trip last year with a friend that created an algorithm that would ping selected backcountry sites on Rec.gov every 5 minutes to see if they came available, while it wouldn't book for you, it would let you know if a site you wanted for a specified set of dates is available. Could be shifted to work regular campsites too, anything on rec.gov. Additionally, I definitely saw recently a subscription based (just googled, there are more than one) services that will do this for you. Scan backcountry or frontcountry campground on the online services like rec.gov and text you when the site you want becomes available on the dates you want. This existing alone sucks, and monetizing that seems pretty horrible to me.
While I'm not sure this is sucking up
all the permits, it's definitely a thing. I'm not sure there is a perfect system, but the lottery system in Yellowstone and Glacier seem best and most equitable to me. Though sometimes I think turning land into a national park or monument, and then other layers like adding a backcountry lottery only exacerbates the demand issue. For example, because there is a lottery, I made a reservation for a trip this year I'm not
sure I'll have the time to do, but know that I would consider only if I had the permit. I'll obviously cancel if I don't plan to go well in advance, but I'm still negatively effecting supply. I can't be the only one doing this with the hot areas.
I don't think the time-release permit system is a good solve(i.e. June 6th permit opens @ 7AM PST on March 6, etc) because it favors those privileged with the time and energy to make themselves available AND plan a vacation months or years in advance. Holding a certain percentage of permits in reserve for walk-ups is also a good hedge for that, but unfortunately nothing is perfect.