OldBill
Member
- Joined
- Aug 18, 2015
- Messages
- 474
Last year I had about 4 weeks of unsettled weather constantly rolling into the Tetons and Wind River areas, starting in late Aug. In looking back through the forecast discussions, they attributed that to (1) a strong El Nino and (2) an omega blocking pattern set up over the northern plains.
Long range forecasts are just useful for potential trends/averages, but this year looks more encouraging. Currently they're expecting La Nina to build throughout the summer. Should lead to much better backpacking weather come next Aug/Sept. I'm introducing a couple of groups to the Winds so hoping there's enough decent weather to have a good first impression (unlike the 2020 wind storm, which was the last time I tried this)
Anyway, could be nonsense, but I'm going to remain optimistic, at least for now!
![ENSO_2024.png ENSO_2024.png](https://backcountrypost.com/data/attachments/130/130192-25c58ced4796ca19c641627fb2158b4f.jpg)
![EarlyFall.png EarlyFall.png](https://backcountrypost.com/data/attachments/130/130193-618b846ea289e9b909248da7f5ed56a0.jpg)
Long range forecasts are just useful for potential trends/averages, but this year looks more encouraging. Currently they're expecting La Nina to build throughout the summer. Should lead to much better backpacking weather come next Aug/Sept. I'm introducing a couple of groups to the Winds so hoping there's enough decent weather to have a good first impression (unlike the 2020 wind storm, which was the last time I tried this)
Anyway, could be nonsense, but I'm going to remain optimistic, at least for now!
![ENSO_2024.png ENSO_2024.png](https://backcountrypost.com/data/attachments/130/130192-25c58ced4796ca19c641627fb2158b4f.jpg)
![EarlyFall.png EarlyFall.png](https://backcountrypost.com/data/attachments/130/130193-618b846ea289e9b909248da7f5ed56a0.jpg)
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