Vegan.Hiker
Member
- Joined
- Jul 5, 2014
- Messages
- 2,099
It seems almost every week I begin checking the weather forecast mid-week for the upcoming weekend and by Thursday I need to make some decisions on whether to go or whether to save my vacation day for another weekend (I frequently take Fridays off and leave straight from work Thu night for a 3 day backpack). The reason I decided to start this thread is because this week looks like it might be a perfect example of the incessant forecast checking and waffling of plans that I'm talking about. I was planning on leaving this Thu evening to head 7 hours south to the Blue Ridge Mtns in VA since I had been rained out of doing this trip twice already this year. However as of right now (and I know it's still early) forecast is for 50% chance of rain on both Saturday and Sunday. So I looked 6 hours north at the White Mtns in NH and again... 50% chance of rain both Sat and Sun. .. 5 hours northwest to the ADK's and again same forecast. I even looked 6 hours due west at Letchworth State Park in western NY since I've had it on my to-do list but it's 50% chance both Sat and Sun there as well.
So if the forecast were to stay put until Thu when I have to decide whether to go or stay, what would your decision-making process look like? It's not that I'm hesitant to do some hiking in the rain, it's more about saving that Friday vacation day and banking it for a better weekend. I feel like I struggle all week, almost every week with these weather decisions and would be surprised if everyone else didn't as well. I think the amount of driving that I need to put in makes the decision a little trickier as well.
So when do you guys take a rain check on weekend backpacking trip? When rain is predicted on 2 of 3 days? If probabilities each day are above 30%, %50%, 70%? When do you guys decide to stay home?
So if the forecast were to stay put until Thu when I have to decide whether to go or stay, what would your decision-making process look like? It's not that I'm hesitant to do some hiking in the rain, it's more about saving that Friday vacation day and banking it for a better weekend. I feel like I struggle all week, almost every week with these weather decisions and would be surprised if everyone else didn't as well. I think the amount of driving that I need to put in makes the decision a little trickier as well.
So when do you guys take a rain check on weekend backpacking trip? When rain is predicted on 2 of 3 days? If probabilities each day are above 30%, %50%, 70%? When do you guys decide to stay home?
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